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Nipissing—Timiskaming

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Nipissing—Timiskaming
Ontario electoral district
Nipissing—Timiskaming in relation to the other Ontario ridings
Federal electoral district
LegislatureHouse of Commons
MP
 
 		 
Anthony Rota
Liberal
District created2003
First contested2004
Last contested2021
District webpageprofile, map
Demographics
Population (2011)[1]90,996
Electors (2015)70,342
Area (km²)[2]15,313
Pop. density (per km²)5.9
Census division(s)Nipissing District, Parry Sound District
Census subdivision(s)North Bay, Temiskaming Shores, East Ferris, Powassan, Callander, Bonfield, Mattawa

Nipissing—Timiskaming is a federal electoral district in Ontario, Canada, that has been represented in the House of Commons of Canada since 2004. The riding was formed by the amalgamation of the former Nipissing riding with the southeastern portion of the former Timiskaming—Cochrane riding. The 2011 electoral results in this riding were challenged in court on the grounds that there were "irregularities, fraud or corrupt or illegal practices that affected the result of the election".[3]

Nipissing—Timiskaming consists of:

  • the Territorial District of Nipissing, excluding:
    • the Municipality of West Nipissing;
    • the southeast part of the district;
    • the Town of Kearney;
  • in the Territorial District of Parry Sound, the Town of Powassan and the townships of Nipissing and North Himsworth; and
  • the part of the Territorial District of Timiskaming lying south and east of a line drawn from the eastern limit of the district west along the northern border of the Townships of Harris, Dymond, Hudson, Lundy, Auld and Speight, south along the western border of the townships of Speight, Van Nostrand, Leo and Medina to the southern limit of the district.

This riding lost small portions of territory to Timmins-James Bay and gained a small portion from Nickel Belt during the 2012 electoral redistribution.

The seat's present federal MP is Anthony Rota, the former Speaker of the House.

Demographics

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According to the 2021 Canadian census[4]

Ethnic groups: 81.7% White, 14.9% Indigenous, 1.0% South Asian
Languages: 79.6% English, 13.8% French

Religions: 58.9% Christian (36.3% Catholic, 6.1% United Church, 4.0% Anglican, 1.1% Pentecostal, 1.0% Presbyterian, 10.4% Other), 39.2% None

Median income: $39,600 (2020)
Average income: $49,400 (2020)

This riding has elected the following members of the House of Commons of Canada:

Parliament Years Member Party
Nipissing—Timiskaming
Riding created from Nipissing and Timiskaming—Cochrane
38th  2004–2006     Anthony Rota Liberal
39th  2006–2008
40th  2008–2011
41st  2011–2015     Jay Aspin Conservative
42nd  2015–2019     Anthony Rota Liberal
43rd  2019–2021
44th  2021–present

Election results

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Graph of election results in Nippissing—Tiskaming (minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)


2021 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal Anthony Rota 18,405 38.8 -1.8 $97,413.97
Conservative Steven Trahan 15,104 31.8 +4.8 $85,201.35
New Democratic Scott Robertson 10,493 22.1 +1.6 $14,631.29
People's Gregory J. Galante 3,494 7.4 +2.2 $16,450.54
Total valid votes 47,496
Total rejected ballots 337
Turnout 47,833 63.20
Eligible voters 75,689
Source: Elections Canada[5]
2021 federal election redistributed results[6]
Party Vote %
  Liberal 19,007 36.86
  Conservative 16,438 31.88
  New Democratic 12,031 23.33
  People's 4,088 7.93
2019 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal Anthony Rota 19,352 40.55 –11.33 $105,794.62
Conservative Jordy Carr 12,984 27.20 –2.10 $86,210.82
New Democratic Rob Boulet 9,784 20.50 +4.26 $8,883.76
Green Alex Gomm 3,111 6.52 +3.95 none listed
People's Mark King 2,496 5.23 n/a $24,007.08
Total valid votes/expense limit 47,727 99.15
Total rejected ballots 407 0.85 +0.39
Turnout 48,134 64.13 –4.17
Eligible voters 75,052
Liberal hold Swing –4.61
Source: Elections Canada[7][8]
2015 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal Anthony Rota 25,357 51.88 +15.39 $111,880.91
Conservative Jay Aspin 14,325 29.31 -7.10 $88,713.85
New Democratic Kathleen Jodouin 7,936 16.24 -4.89 $25,717.06
Green Nicole Peltier 1,257 2.57 -3.40 $2,243.82
Total valid votes/Expense limit 48,875 99.54   $218,149.29
Total rejected ballots 224 0.46
Turnout 49,099 68.31
Eligible voters 71,879
Liberal notional hold Swing +11.24
Source: Elections Canada[9][10]

Despite the fact that 99% of this riding stayed the same after the 2012 redistribution, based on the results of the 2011 election — in which Aspin defeated Rota by a margin of just 18 votes — the minor boundary changes were enough to make the seat a notional Liberal riding.[11] The riding lost two Conservative voting areas in the north (Hudson Township and Harris Township) while gaining the Nipissing 10 Indian Reserve,[12] where the Tories finished third.

2011 federal election redistributed results[11]
Party Vote %
  Liberal 15,405 36.49
  Conservative 15,369 36.41
  New Democratic 8,919 21.13
  Green 2,520 5.97
2011 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Conservative Jay Aspin 15,495 36.7 +4.4 –
Liberal Anthony Rota 15,477 36.6 -8.0 –
New Democratic Rona Eckert 8,781 20.8 +5.0 –
Green Scott Daley 2,518 6.0 -0.8 –
Total valid votes/Expense limit 42,271 100.0 –
Total rejected ballots 225 0.5 +0.1
Turnout 42,496 60.5 +6.8
Eligible voters 70,244 – –
Conservative gain from Liberal Swing +6.2

Note: This vote was subject to mandatory recount because of the margin of win being less than 1/1000 of the total votes.

2008 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal Anthony Rota 18,510 44.6 –0.1 $77,997
Conservative Joe Sinicrope 13,432 32.3 –2.2 $81,801
New Democratic Dianna Allen 6,582 15.8 –1.5 $8,409
Green Craig Bridges 2,808 6.8 +3.3 $10,803
Canadian Action Andrew Moulden 204 0.5 –
Total valid votes/Expense limit 41,536 100.0 $87,383
Total rejected ballots 167 0.4 0.0
Turnout 41,703 ~58.2 -9.4
Liberal hold Swing +2.1
2006 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Anthony Rota 21,393 44.7 +2.4
Conservative Peter Chirico 16,511 34.5 –2.6
New Democratic Dave Fluri 8,268 17.3 +0.3
Green Meg Purdy 1,698 3.5 +0.4
Total valid votes 47,870 100.0
Total rejected ballots 211 0.4 -0.1
Turnout 48,081 67.6 +5.2
Liberal hold Swing +2.5
2004 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes %
Liberal Anthony Rota 18,254 42.3
Conservative Al McDonald 16,001 37.1
New Democratic Dave Fluri 7,354 17.0
Green Les Wilcox 1,329 3.1
Canadian Action Ross MacLean 204 0.5
Total valid votes 43,142 100.0
Total rejected ballots 222 0.5
Turnout 43,364 62.4

See also

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References

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  • "Nipissing—Timiskaming (Code 35057) Census Profile". 2011 census. Government of Canada - Statistics Canada. Retrieved March 3, 2011.
  • Riding history from the Library of Parliament
  • 2011 results from Elections Canada
  • Campaign expense data from Elections Canada

Notes

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  1. ^ Statistics Canada: 2012
  2. ^ Statistics Canada: 2012
  3. ^ Fitzpatrick, Meagan (March 27, 2012). "Robocalls trigger legal challenges in 7 ridings". CBC News. Retrieved March 29, 2012.
  4. ^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (February 9, 2022). "Profile table, Census Profile, 2021 Census of Population - Nipissing--Timiskaming [Federal electoral district (2013 Representation Order)], Ontario". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved April 4, 2023.
  5. ^ "Official Voting Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 2, 2021.
  6. ^ "Transposition of Votes from the 44th General Election to the 2023 Representation Orders". Elections Canada. Retrieved April 9, 2024.
  7. ^ "List of confirmed candidates". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 4, 2019.
  8. ^ "Official Voting Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved August 7, 2021.
  9. ^ Elections Canada – Confirmed candidates for Nipissing—Timiskaming, 30 September 2015
  10. ^ Elections Canada – Preliminary Election Expenses Limits for Candidates
  11. ^ a b Pundits' Guide to Canadian Elections
  12. ^ "redecoupage-federal-redistribution". www.redecoupage-federal-redistribution.ca. Retrieved July 18, 2021.

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